I have interesting information on how to win the lotto and make you the next.
It's actually very simple. The idea occurred to me when I thought about how a computer software program would store a winning lotto, keno or lottery number on disk. Storage space is always an issue with computers, so data compression is used whenever possible. To compress a lotto number, the software might store the "delta" of each number instead of the lotto number itself.
What's a delta? The delta is the difference between a number and the previous number.
For example, look at this winning lotto number:
Now here is the same number, represented as deltas:
All the numbers are smaller, yet it still represents, and can be converted back into the same winning lotto number!
I created this number by subtracting each of the lotto numbers from the number right before it. The first number is still three because there is no number previous to three. For the second number, 9-3=6, third number, 18-9=9, fourth number, 19-18=1, fifth number, 27-19=8 , and sixth number, 33-27=6.
To turn the delta numbers back into the original winning lotto number or keno number, we do a series of simple additions, always adding the result of the addition just done to the next number in the series: The first number is 3, second number, 3+6=9, third number, 9+9=18, fourth number, 18+1=19, fifth number,19+8=27, sixth number, 27+6=33.
WHAT'S HAPPENING? WHY DOES THIS WORK?
It works because the smaller numbers represent the typical distribution of winning keno and lotto numbers. In other words, in a six digit game like this, the numbers are usually spaced 1-15 digits from each other. Since this spacing stays somewhat consistent from winning number to winning number, our scheme to represent them as smaller delta numbers works.
By guessing deltas that follow our rules instead of guessing the keno or lotto numbers themselves, your guess will have the same number distribution characteristics as other winning numbers. Does this give you an advantage? Well, read on.
WAIT! THERE'S MORE! IT GETS BETTER!
I studied the distribution of delta numbers in a year's worth of winning numbers from the New York, California and Michigan lotteries. When I did this, I discovered something exciting but at first, truly puzzling. They are not randomly distributed, but instead have a clear bias toward smaller numbers!
Hard to believe? Check out some of the raw data yourself by clicking HERE.
This chart shows the distribution of delta numbers in several months' worth of Michigan lotto drawings:
It turns out that nearly 60% of the time, a delta calculated from a winning number will be SIX or less! 30% of the time, the delta will be THREE or less!
In fact, ONE is the single most popular number, occurring almost 15% of the time. That translates to more than half the time in any given six-number pick. The predominance of the number ONE means that adjacent number pairing in winning lotto numbers must be quite common (and it is quite common, just look at any series of winning lotto numbers.)
Therefore, most of the Delta numbers you will be guessing can be picked from an even smaller set of numbers!
Why the low number bias exists in our calculated delta numbers is a challenge to explain. I expected to find a nice even distribution, perhaps clustered around 7 or 8, since that would be the average spacing when 50 is divided by six numbers. Instead, I see numbers below 8 coming up much more often. Why?
Well, there are valid statistical reasons this happens. When you consider that the sum of all the Deltas have to add up to the highest lotto digit, it's apparent that there isn't room for many large numbers. But the patterns I'm seeing still often seem out-of-the-ordinary. One possibility is that the balls in many lotto picking machines at times do not thoroughly mix. The excess of small delta numbers, and especially the predominance of ONE, mean that balls that went in the lotto machine next to each other are coming up together! It's not obvious in the lotto numbers themselves, but the delta calculation reveals the pattern.
To visualize this, imagine a lotto number machine where the balls all enter lined up in numerical order (like they do here in Michigan.) Now imagine that the numbers are picked without mixing the balls. What would happen? Well the picks would still be somewhat random, of course. But the balls nearest the exit ports of the machine would be the ones most likely to be picked. And All the balls near the exit port are consecutive numbers, since that's how they went into the machine. You might not know what numbers they are. But if you track Deltas, those number pairs would show up as ones. Now, this is an extreme example. But if the balls don't mix enough, you can see how some of these tendencies could remain.
Lending support to this theory are apparent trends (look at the raw data) in the frequency of number ONE in the deltas. The beginning of the chart shows lots of ones. Later on, they taper off, then start appearing more often again. This sort of behavior might occur with changes in the operation of the lotto machine. Perhaps some weeks the balls are allowed to mix longer than at other times, owing to TV schedules or other factors. An astute observer might pay attention to these trends and play lots of adjacent pairs when there are many delta ONEs coming up.
A computer program would be ideal for tracking such delta pattern trends. So I made one! Check it out HERE. You can take a tour of its features HERE.
Need some "hands-on" proof that this works? Click HERE. Or see our new lottery video, HERE.
RULES FOR GUESSING:
Okay, here's how you guess numbers for a six-digit, 1 to 50 lotto game. If your game is similar to this, it'll work fine. The program Analysis Lotto can adjust these rules to match your particular lotto or keno game.
Remember that, unlike guessing a lotto number, your delta series can contain the same number more than once, and the delta numbers are not necessarily ordered in ascending (lowest to highest) fashion. Your guess can contain one number higher than 15, but it's better to stick with the numbers 1-15. Why? Nine out of ten delta numbers will be 15 or less. This means that at least half the time, there will be no delta number greater than 15 in a given six-number-pick. As there are more possible numbers greater than 15 than there are numbers less than 15, its just better strategy to focus your guesses on those cases where the odds are in your favor.
For the best odds, keep at least half of your numbers very low, maybe 8 or less. Remember the delta number ONE occurs somewhere at least once in most (but not all) winning numbers.
Also, the sum of the numbers in your guess must not exceed the highest number allowed in the lotto game you are playing (for most lotto games, somewhere close to 50).
In fact, the odds are highest that the sum of all the deltas in a winning number will be within 15 of the highest number allowed.
After you guess, randomly mix up your delta numbers ,and turn them into a lotto number by following the addition sequence.
When the winning number is announced, even if you don't win, turn it into a delta number and compare it to the delta of the number you picked to see how close you really were!
MAKING IT EASIER:
I have a free computer lotto number picker for you, that follows all the rules above. Just click HERE. And of course, to do an even better job, use Analysis Lotto, our powerful lotto software. More information and video tutorials are on our new lottery DVD, available here.
If you prefer clear step-by-step rules to pick numbers yourself, click HERE.
This page created and maintained by Dave Muse.
If you win money, tell me about it! Write to: firstname.lastname@example.org
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Disclaimer: This page is presented as entertainment. Please don't spend all your money on lottery tickets! Remember, even with a good system, the odds are still against you.